Elections Blog

At the moment, according to the RealClearPolitics scorecards, the Senate will be either 50-50, or 51-49 Dems, with the latter the more likely outcome.  Montana and Virginia have not been officially called.  In the House, the Dems are up 27, with 13 races still undecided.
There will be thousands, literally, of post-mortems today, and we’ll no [...]

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Well, I’m killing the updates to the open thread, as we clearly have reached a point of closure in the House, even as the Senate hangs in the balance.  The Democrats have won a big victory, and we can be Kos-style jerks about it, or we can accept the slap in the face the voters [...]

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I’ll keep updating this throughout the evening. Post any good news (or bad) you have in the comments, if you wish.
Good page for results here at CNN. Dewine has lost, no surprise there. Allen is in big trouble; with 20% or so of the vote in, Webb has a slight lead…Rendell over Swan, again, not [...]

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The headline in the Washington Post: Democrats, On The Offensive, Could Gain Both Houses. And they very well could…yet the article presents no evidence that the Senate will swing the Democrats’ way, and the survey that provided the impetus for the article shows Republican gains in almost every category.
Some examples:
Bush job approval: 43%, up [...]

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I know some of my regulars assure me that Brouchard will win in Michigan.  To you, my friends, I say: I admire your optimism, but…51-38…
Even if the poll is off by 10 points, Brouchard loses…that’s a goner…

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Rich Lowry on the internal Republican polling…
Shock of the day: Kos doesn’t like Lieberman, and vice-versa (hilariously, Kos takes offense because Lieberman called DKos the leading left-wing blog; apparently Markos thinks he’s in the mainstream.  Bonus hilarity for complaining about Lieberman’s thuggish tactics (heard any Rape Gurney Joe jokes lately, Markos?))… 
Second shock of the day: massive Democratic [...]

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Allen up 3, Corker and Ford tied…

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Just got through participating (well, listening - I didn’t ask any questions this time) in a conference call with RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman. It was very quick - the Chairman no doubt has quite a few things on his agenda at the moment…but I thought I’d share my general impressions with you.
I must take [...]

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I thought Markos and Matt “SEC Settlement” Stoller told us papa had a brand new bag, but it looks like the same ol’, same ol’ with Ned Lamont.  Rich ‘Man of the People’ can’t appeal to enough real people, and tries to buy his way into office:
Democrat Ned Lamont, seeking to erase Sen. Joe Lieberman’s [...]

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This is why the Chafee win should warm the hearts (okay, okay - how about deaden the pain?) of even very conservative Republicans:
Senator Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island won the Republican primary there on Tuesday, fending off a bid from a populist challenger that the national Republican Party had feared would cost it a seat [...]

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Survey USA: Lieberman by 13…and not a word from Jane Hamsher! What’s the matter, Jane? Cat got your tongue?…

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…but Chafee is looking pretty solid, with a 6% lead and over 70% of ballots counted. Some of my regulars expressed their distaste for Chafee earlier - let me be clear about one thing - I’m not a fan, nor do I have anything against Stephen Laffey. Furthermore, I admire your stand on [...]

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I suspect we’ll have a pretty good idea who’s running and who isn’t when the smoke clears in November, and that’s why I’ve been very negligent in covering 2008 news lately, but Al Gore isn’t coming out strong one way or the other:
Former Vice President Al Gore said Sunday he hadn’t rule out making a [...]

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Make no mistake, Chris Bowers is of the left, but he has gone to a lot of trouble to put together a comprehensive forecast page for the 2006 House, and here is his conclusion:
I currently project Democrats to take 15-25 seats, which would give them a narrow majority of between 218-228 seats. I am a [...]

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Joe Lieberman is up significantly over Ned Lamont in the latest Quinnipiac survey (a 12-point lead).  Incredibly, Lieberman has the support of 75% of the Republican voters in a three-way race that includes the Republican candidate(!):
“Sen. Lieberman’s support among Republicans is nothing short of amazing. It more than offsets what he has lost among Democrats. [...]

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Tom Bevan at the always-excellent RealClearPolitics has a good sampling of stories to prime the pump for political junkies, and offers the following brief commentary:
Hang on to your hats. Lieberman’s campaign is claiming Democrats are “coming home” to their candidate after flirting with Lamont. Doug Schwartz, director of the Quinnipiac poll, says momentum has shifted [...]

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…(and there are plenty already in Washington), then Ned’s your man. Tom Maguire details with painstaking, loving craftsmanship the absurdly large amount of evidence that Ned Lamont’s campaign has been of the blogs, by the blogs, and for the blogs, yet we get gems like this, from Lamont’s campaign spokeswoman, as Lamont tries to [...]

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Ned Lamont is facing the blackface controversy (covered in all the major media outlets, thank you very much, Jane!) in the tried-and-true fashion of a scoundrel: by lying through his teeth.
Ned Lamont may make a great politico after all, since he seems to have already mastered a key part of the job - when in [...]

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